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New York Mets v Houston Astros

2026-08-28 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 46.48%2.15fair odd
EV -0.079%
Edge -0.037%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.53%46.46%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1551.28%48.91%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 53.52%1.87fair odd
EV -0.444%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.516%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.47%53.54%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8658.14%56.01%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Mets (Local): 46.48%; Houston Astros (Visit): 53.52%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.152. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.150, with an expected value of -0.079%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.079%E -0.037%K -0.068%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 00:49
GTbets🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.47%E -0.695%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.94%E -0.918%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.94%E -0.918%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:01
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.94%E -0.918%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.58%E -1.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.40%E -1.14%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 22:01
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 20:05
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-28 00:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.33%E -1.60%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 20:05
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.444%E -0.238%K -0.516%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 20:15
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.80%E -1.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.73%E -2.65%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-27 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 20:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 23:24
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 22:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.73%E -2.65%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 00:50
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.73%E -2.65%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 22:10
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:15
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:01
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.80%E -3.29%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 20:14
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:06
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 20:15
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.73%E -2.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 00:50
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:50
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:50
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:55
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.19%E -2.54%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.66%E -2.79%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.80%E -3.29%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 00:50
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.12%E -3.03%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.19%E -2.34%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 23:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 20:10
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 23:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.80%E -3.29%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 00:50
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.05%E -3.52%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 00:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.98%E -4.03%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.94%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.44%E -4.29%K -8.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.94%E -4.61%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 00:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.05%E -1.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.37%E -4.81%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-27 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-27 20:15
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-28 00:05
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%6.4%2026-08-28 00:50
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%6.7%2026-08-28 00:40
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%10.1%2026-08-28 00:50