Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-08-28 23:12 UTC

Final: New York Mets 1–3 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 50.05%2.00odd justa
EV +0.095%
Vantagem +0.047%
Kelly +0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%50.10%50.00%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.922.0054.05%52.26%52.08%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 49.95%2.00odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.552%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%49.90%50.00%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.901.9854.64%52.47%52.63%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 50.05%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 49.95%. Para New York Mets (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.998. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.095%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV +0.095%E +0.047%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-28 23:07
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -0.906%E -0.458%K -0.925%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.973%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:10
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.973%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -0.973%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -1.09%E -0.552%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 23:05
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 15:15
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.59%E -1.33%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 13:59
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 14:25
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.41%E -1.23%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:05
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:05
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.09%E -1.07%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-28 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.91%E -1.50%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.77%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.59%E -1.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 15:10
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:25
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:05
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 14:05
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.91%E -2.04%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:30
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 13:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 15:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.41%E -2.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.09%E -3.24%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 13:45
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.91%E -2.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.41%E -2.86%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 22:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.59%E -2.96%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -5.91%E -3.14%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 23:10
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -4.09%E -2.13%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 23:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.40%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 23:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 20:45
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.41%E -3.43%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.91%E -3.72%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.09%E -2.68%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.09%E -3.81%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.59%E -4.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-28 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.41%E -4.01%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.59%E -4.69%K -10.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 22:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-28 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-08-28 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-08-28 23:10
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-28 23:00
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 23:10
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%2.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Matchbook◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-08-28 23:10
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-08-28 23:10