Language:English
New York Mets v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 58.29%1.72fair odd
EV -0.323%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.95%58.00%58.22%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.7163.69%61.27%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 41.71%2.40fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.00%41.78%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.312.352.4050.00%43.29%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 58.29%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 41.71%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.398. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.103%E +0.043%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.314%E -0.131%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.60%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-14 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-14 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 15:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-14 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.49%E -0.881%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-14 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-14 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.90%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.32%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.32%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-14 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-14 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-14 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-14 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -0.323%E -0.189%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.49%E -0.881%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-14 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.906%E -0.533%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-14 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.58%E -8.29%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-05-14 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-05-14 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-05-14 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59% | 2.6% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 3.0% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-05-14 17:10 |