La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-05-14 17:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 9–4 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 58.29%1.72momio equitativo
EV -0.323%
Ventaja -0.189%
Kelly -0.455%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.95%58.00%58.22%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.621.7163.69%61.27%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 41.71%2.40momio equitativo
EV +0.103%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.074%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%42.00%41.78%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.312.352.4050.00%43.29%42.55%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV +0.103%E +0.043%K +0.074%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-14 16:55
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.314%E -0.131%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-14 16:55
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.731%E -0.307%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 14:25
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 14:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:35
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -7.32%E -4.60%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -1.15%E -0.485%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 14:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 14:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.24%E -1.95%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.57%E -0.663%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 17:09
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-14 14:55
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 15:41
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-14 14:00
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 13:44
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:35
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 14:35
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 14:15
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.15%E -3.82%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-14 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:55
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:55
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:55
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:55
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.98%E -0.844%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 17:10
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.40%E -1.03%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-14 15:20
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.49%E -0.881%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.82%E -1.21%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 15:44
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.23%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 14:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 14:35
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 15:40
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:10
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:10
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:10
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 14:00
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 16:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.48%E -5.40%K -14.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.07%E -1.77%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:45
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.90%E -2.15%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 17:10
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.32%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:09
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.99%E -3.06%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.32%E -2.34%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.65%E -1.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 17:00
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.74%E -2.54%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 17:05
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 16:15
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 16:45
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.57%E -3.44%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 15:40
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.74%E -4.21%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.15%E -2.73%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -0.323%E -0.189%K -0.455%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -9.07%E -4.16%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 17:10
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.49%E -0.881%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.32%E -4.80%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-14 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.906%E -0.533%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 17:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -3.82%E -2.32%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.41%E -5.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.40%E -2.69%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.58%E -8.29%K -16.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-14 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-14 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-14 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-05-14 17:05
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-14 17:10
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-05-14 17:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-14 16:55
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-05-14 17:10
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-05-14 17:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-05-14 17:10