Language:English
New York Mets v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV -0.523%
Edge -0.274%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.05%52.22%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.831.831.9159.88%54.53%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV +0.627%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%47.95%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.981.982.1053.76%50.48%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 52.08%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 47.92%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.627%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.02%E -7.80%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.331%E -0.159%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.29%E -0.626%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-13 22:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-13 20:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-13 22:53 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-13 23:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-13 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 19:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.73%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 22:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-13 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-13 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.04%E -0.549%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-13 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.96%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 22:57 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.44%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.44%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -7.29%E -4.10%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -10.87%E -5.85%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.10% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.90% | -0.4% | 2026-05-13 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85% | 1.2% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-05-13 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25% | 10.2% | 2026-05-13 23:10 |