Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Detroit Tigers

Inicio: 2026-05-13 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 3–2 Detroit Tigers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 52.08%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.523%
Ventaja -0.274%
Kelly -0.575%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.05%52.22%55.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.831.831.9159.88%54.53%54.64%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 47.92%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.627%
Ventaja +0.299%
Kelly +0.570%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%47.95%47.78%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.981.982.1053.76%50.48%50.51%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 52.08%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 47.92%. Para Detroit Tigers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.09. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.627%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.0%2026-05-13 23:05
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004%2.3%2026-05-13 23:04
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.02%E -7.80%K -19.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.627%E +0.299%K +0.570%G +0.004%7.5%2026-05-13 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-13 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +0.148%E +0.071%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-13 23:05
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -0.331%E -0.159%K -0.306%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 23:05
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -1.29%E -0.626%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-13 22:19
Everygame🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 23:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.77%E -0.863%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:28
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 22:53
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 22:30
TAB🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-13 23:03
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 19:50
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:50
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.73%E -3.17%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 22:20
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 22:14
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 23:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.16%E -2.08%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.17%E -2.27%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-13 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.12%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.60%E -2.84%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 22:10
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.08%E -3.10%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.04%E -0.549%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:05
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:10
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.90%E -5.72%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -6.56%E -3.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-13 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.09%E -1.11%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 22:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.13%E -1.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.04%E -3.63%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 23:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.61%E -1.39%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.52%E -3.90%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -5.21%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -8.00%E -4.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 23:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.523%E -0.274%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.65%E -1.97%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.96%E -4.71%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 22:57
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.44%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -9.44%E -4.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.69%E -2.56%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.91%E -5.27%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -7.29%E -4.10%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -10.87%E -5.85%K -12.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 53.10%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.90%-0.4%2026-05-13 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-05-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-13 23:05
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-13 23:10
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-05-13 23:10
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-05-13 23:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-05-13 23:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%5.4%2026-05-13 23:10
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%10.2%2026-05-13 23:10