Language:English
New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 52.90%1.89fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%52.84%52.88%53.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.18%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 47.10%2.12fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.994%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.48%47.16%47.12%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.41%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 52.90%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 47.10%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.07%E -0.574%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.07%E -0.574%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.04%E -0.979%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.04%E -0.979%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.09%E -0.521%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 19:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 19:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 20:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 22:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 22:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 03:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 02:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 20:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -2.96%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.60%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.89%E -3.92%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-05-27 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 22:59 |