La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-05-27 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 4–2 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 52.90%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%52.84%52.88%53.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.18%55.25%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 47.10%2.12momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.994%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.48%47.16%47.12%49.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.41%49.50%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -1.07%E -0.574%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.07%E -0.574%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -10.04%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 22:19
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.04%E -0.979%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 23:00
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.04%E -0.979%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-27 23:09
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.51%E -1.21%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 23:09
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.13%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 22:39
BetUS1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.66%E -1.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 23:09
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.09%E -0.521%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 23:09
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 23:09
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.56%E -0.749%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 23:10
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 23:00
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 19:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 22:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 19:30
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 20:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 22:39
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:39
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 03:10
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 19:50
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 19:50
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 22:59
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 22:50
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.92%E -1.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 23:00
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:50
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:49
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:50
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:49
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:50
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 19:50
DraftKings1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 23:09
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 11:20
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.25%E -2.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 22:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 23:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:59
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 22:59
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 19:49
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 19:50
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 19:50
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 19:49
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.86%E -2.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:40
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 22:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 23:10
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 02:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.78%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.16%E -4.18%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 20:56
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.31%E -2.96%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 22:59
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 22:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.36%E -3.60%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.89%E -3.92%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 23:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.80%E -2.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-05-27 23:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 21:50
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 02:10
ProphetX1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 23:10
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-05-27 23:09
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-05-27 23:09
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%2.3%2026-05-27 22:59