Language:English
New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 54.76%1.83fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.81%54.76%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.77%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 45.24%2.21fair odd
EV -0.475%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.395%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.19%45.24%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2050.00%47.00%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 54.76%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 45.24%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.475%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.475%E -0.216%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-25 19:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 19:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 20:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.475%E -0.216%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 20:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 20:00 |