Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-25 20:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–7 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 54.76%1.83odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.81%54.76%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.77%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 45.24%2.21odd justa
EV -0.475%
Vantagem -0.216%
Kelly -0.395%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%45.19%45.24%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.152.2050.00%47.00%46.51%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 54.76%; Cincinnati Reds (Visitante): 45.24%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.21. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.20, com valor esperado de -0.475%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 20:09
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 20:09
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-25 20:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -3.64%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 20:09
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-25 20:09
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-25 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.53%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 20:09
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.475%E -0.216%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-25 19:20
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 20:09
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 20:09
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 20:09
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 20:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 18:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:09
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 19:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:09
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.72%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.09%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 20:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 20:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:49
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.475%E -0.216%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 20:09
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 20:00
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.91%E -4.06%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 19:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.00%E -4.76%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.28%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-25 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-25 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-25 20:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-25 20:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-25 20:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-25 18:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-25 20:10
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-25 20:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-25 20:10
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-05-25 20:00