Language:English
New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 48.02%2.08fair odd
EV +0.847%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%48.03%47.83%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.81%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 51.98%1.92fair odd
EV -0.203%
Edge -0.106%
Kelly -0.221%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.97%52.17%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9257.14%54.78%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 48.02%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 51.98%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.847%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.847%E +0.403%K +0.770%G +0.007% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.593%E -0.287%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.593%E -0.287%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.03%E -0.997%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.03%E -0.997%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.51%E -1.24%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.76%E -0.933%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.51%E -1.24%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.723%E -0.379%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 19:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.44%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.44%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 23:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.88%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.36%E -2.37%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.84%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.106%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 23:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.7% | 2026-05-26 23:10 |