Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 23:11 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 2–7 Cincinnati Reds

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 48.02%2.08cote équitable
EV +0.847%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.770%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.05%48.03%47.83%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.81%50.00%47.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.98%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.203%
Avantage -0.106%
Kelly -0.221%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.97%52.17%53.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.9257.14%54.78%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : New York Mets (Local) : 48.02% ; Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur) : 51.98%. Pour New York Mets (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.08. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.10, soit une espérance positive de +0.847%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV +0.847%E +0.403%K +0.770%G +0.007%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -5.92%E -3.27%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.593%E -0.287%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -0.593%E -0.287%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 21:10
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:49
LeoVegas🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:49
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.07%E -0.521%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 21:49
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 23:09
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 22:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 23:09
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:40
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:40
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -1.55%E -0.758%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.04%E -5.17%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.03%E -0.997%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.03%E -0.997%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.51%E -1.24%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.76%E -0.933%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 23:00
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.51%E -1.24%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 22:59
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.723%E -0.379%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-26 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -3.47%E -1.73%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 19:09
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 19:19
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 19:19
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 22:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 22:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 22:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 22:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 19:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.44%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.44%E -2.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 23:10
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 23:07
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.92%E -2.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.88%E -3.00%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.36%E -2.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 23:10
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.80%E -1.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 23:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 23:09
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.84%E -3.52%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.203%E -0.106%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.28%E -1.21%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 23:09
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.24%E -0.654%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.84%E -2.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 23:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.09I 47.85%NM 47.75%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.25%0.2%2026-05-26 23:09
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%NM 48.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.88%0.4%2026-05-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-26 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-26 23:00
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-05-26 23:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-26 22:40
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-05-26 23:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-05-26 23:10