Language:English
New York Mets v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 49.14%2.03fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.24%49.13%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.911.912.0154.95%52.23%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.958%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%50.76%50.87%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9355.56%53.27%53.19%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 49.14%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 50.86%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.01, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.22%E -0.607%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-24 21:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-24 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 22:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38% | 0.3% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 2.1% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70% | 12.7% | 2026-06-24 23:10 |