La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Chicago Cubs

Inicio: 2026-06-24 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 5–10 Chicago Cubs

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 49.14%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%49.24%49.13%50.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.911.912.0154.95%52.23%52.36%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Cubs (Visitante)

Predicción 50.86%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.958%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.33%50.76%50.87%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9355.56%53.27%53.19%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.22%E -0.607%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 23:00
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.71%E -0.856%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 23:00
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 23:10
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 23:10
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 23:09
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 22:30
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.69%E -1.36%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.19%E -1.62%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:09
ReBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-24 21:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-24 21:59
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 22:10
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:10
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:00
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.17%E -2.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:09
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.66%E -2.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:00
FanDuel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -1.85%E -0.958%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-24 23:00
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 22:10
Betr (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:00
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.15%E -2.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:09
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:09
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.64%E -2.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.50%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.41%E -2.91%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 22:59
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 23:00
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 23:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.13%E -3.21%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 21:50
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.63%E -3.49%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 23:10
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.12%E -3.77%K -8.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.36%E -1.23%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:10
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.61%E -4.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 22:48
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 20:50
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.10%E -4.33%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.93%E -3.79%K -8.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 23:10
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -3.88%E -2.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 23:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.08%E -4.91%K -10.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-24 23:10
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.39%E -2.34%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 23:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -10.07%E -5.50%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -4.90%E -2.62%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -5.92%E -3.20%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -10.56%E -5.80%K -12.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -8.46%E -4.70%K -10.57%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-24 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38%0.3%2026-06-24 23:00
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-24 23:09
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-06-24 23:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%6.7%2026-06-24 23:10
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%12.7%2026-06-24 23:10