A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-07-11 20:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 0–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 56.43%1.77odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.713%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%56.33%56.43%57.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.14%59.17%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 43.57%2.30odd justa
EV +0.648%
Vantagem +0.280%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.39%43.67%43.57%45.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.56%45.45%43.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.648%E +0.280%K +0.494%G +0.003%2.1%2026-07-11 16:54
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.53%E -0.677%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 19:40
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-11 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 18:44
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:29
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:50
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 16:49
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:44
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 18:45
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:44
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 19:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:54
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.58%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 18:45
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:53
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:43
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:55
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 19:35
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 19:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 18:43
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:44
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:09
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 19:44
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-11 20:09
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-11 19:09
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-11 20:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-07-11 19:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-11 20:10