مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

البداية: 2026-07-11 20:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 0–4 Boston Red Sox

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.43%1.77السعر العادل
EV -1.25%
الأفضلية -0.713%
Kelly -1.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.67%56.33%56.43%57.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.691.691.7561.73%59.14%59.17%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Boston Red Sox (الضيف)

التنبؤ 43.57%2.30السعر العادل
EV +0.648%
الأفضلية +0.280%
Kelly +0.494%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.39%43.67%43.57%45.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.192.202.3148.78%45.56%45.45%43.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV +0.648%E +0.280%K +0.494%G +0.003%2.1%2026-07-11 16:54
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.53%E -0.677%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-11 19:40
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-11 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.97%E -0.874%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-11 18:44
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 19:29
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:50
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.40%E -1.07%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 16:49
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 20:09
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.84%E -1.27%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:44
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 18:45
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-11 18:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.71%E -1.68%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:44
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 19:29
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 18:44
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 19:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:54
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:19
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:29
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:19
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 19:29
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.58%E -5.30%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.15%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 18:45
MyBookie.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:53
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.58%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 18:43
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.63%E -2.74%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.20%E -3.09%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:55
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.02%E -2.30%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 19:35
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -6.89%E -4.18%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -5.89%E -2.73%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 19:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.81%E -1.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 18:43
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:44
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:09
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 19:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:54
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.76%E -3.45%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.33%E -3.81%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.32%E -2.94%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 18:44
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.46%E -4.55%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.63%E -3.60%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 19:44
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.94%E -1.71%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 20:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.51%E -2.05%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.50%E -4.05%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 20:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.07%E -2.39%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.68%E -5.21%K -10.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 20:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-07-11 20:09
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-11 20:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-11 19:09
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-07-11 20:10
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.5%2026-07-11 20:09
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-07-11 19:20
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-07-11 20:10