The School of Odds

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

2026-07-12 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 47.11%2.12fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.507%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.19%47.17%48.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.022.1052%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 52.89%1.89fair odd
EV +1.55%
Edge +0.805%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.02%52.81%52.83%53.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.801.9257%55%56%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV +1.55%E +0.805%K +1.68%G +0.026%2.1%2026-07-12 01:04
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -1.10%E -0.588%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 08:14
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.89%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.10%E -0.588%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 08:14
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -3.89%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -1.10%E -0.588%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 08:14
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -8.60%E -4.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -1.63%E -0.875%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 04:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.07%E -0.507%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 03:59
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:29
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.31%E -2.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 02:29
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -5.31%E -2.64%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 04:25
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 05:54
MyBookie.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.89%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 02:34
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:09
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:15
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 03:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.74%E -2.06%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 02:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 05:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 03:19
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 03:19
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 03:19
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.27%E -2.36%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 03:19
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 06:19
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 02:29
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 00:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 02:27
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 06:18
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 06:19
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 04:10
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 08:19
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 02:30
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 06:19
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 06:19
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 04:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 02:29
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 02:29
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 03:09
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 00:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 01:34
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 02:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.80%E -2.67%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 02:09
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.89%E -1.91%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.33%E -2.98%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 02:30
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.33%E -2.98%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 06:18
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.33%E -2.98%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 06:19
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.33%E -2.98%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 02:28
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 05:19
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.66%E -3.91%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.86%E -3.29%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 03:19
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 04:39
Unibet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.72%E -3.39%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.39%E -3.61%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 05:44
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.42%E -1.67%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.45%E -4.25%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 05:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.78%E -2.89%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.45%E -4.25%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 02:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -8.60%E -4.43%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -7.97%E -4.58%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 02:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.15I 46.51%NM 46.91%1.90I 52.63%NM 53.09%-0.9%2026-07-12 06:19
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-12 08:09
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 46.58%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%1.7%2026-07-12 08:24
Novig2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%2.0%2026-07-12 08:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-07-12 05:09
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%4.4%2026-07-12 07:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-07-12 08:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-07-12 08:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%4.7%2026-07-12 08:09
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%9.9%2026-07-12 02:30
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.30%Everygame 2.10 (47.8%) / 1xBet 1.92 (52.2%)Show details
New York Mets (Local)Boston Red Sox (Visit)Margin
Everygame 2.10 (47.8%)1xBet 1.92 (52.2%)+0.299%