Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v Boston Red Sox

Inizio: 2026-07-12 17:41 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 2–3 Boston Red Sox

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 49.17%2.03quota equa
EV -0.686%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.673%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.22%49.09%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.941.932.0254.05%51.66%51.81%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.83%1.97quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.712%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.78%50.91%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.26%53.19%51.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 49.17%; Boston Red Sox (Trasferta): 50.83%. Per New York Mets (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.03. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.02, con un valore atteso del -0.686%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%EV -0.686%E -0.340%K -0.673%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:19
BetAnything🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.18%E -0.586%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.67%E -0.835%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 15:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:39
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.16%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 17:29
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.65%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.38%E -0.712%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 14:13
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.65%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 17:09
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.14%E -1.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.89%E -0.979%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-12 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.14%E -1.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 17:34
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.64%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.64%E -1.86%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-12 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-12 17:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 17:29
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 17:29
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:29
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 14:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:34
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.62%E -2.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:29
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:39
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 14:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:29
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.60%E -2.92%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:29
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 17:26
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 14:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:39
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.08%E -3.74%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.48%E -4.11%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 17:29
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 15:14
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:34
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.04%E -4.89%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:37
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-07-12 17:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-12 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-07-12 17:39
ProphetX2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-07-12 17:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-12 17:00
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-12 17:15
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-12 17:40
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-12 17:39
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-07-12 17:39