A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 8–1 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 54.15%1.85odd justa
EV -0.359%
Vantagem -0.195%
Kelly -0.427%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.59%53.97%54.26%55.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.40%56.50%54.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 45.85%2.18odd justa
EV +1.32%
Vantagem +0.598%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%46.03%45.74%48.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.932.062.062.2151.81%48.58%48.54%45.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +1.32%E +0.598%K +1.09%G +0.014%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.864%E +0.393%K +0.720%G +0.006%2.0%2026-06-14 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.053%E -0.024%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.970%E -0.449%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:39
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 17:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-14 17:24
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:26
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.18%E -2.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.17%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.359%E -0.195%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.22%E -4.66%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -11.06%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.04%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.96%-0.7%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-14 17:39
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-14 17:40