La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Inicio: 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 8–1 Atlanta Braves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 54.15%1.85momio equitativo
EV -0.359%
Ventaja -0.195%
Kelly -0.427%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.97%54.26%55.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.40%56.50%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 45.85%2.18momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.598%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.014%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.30%46.03%45.74%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.062.062.2151.81%48.58%48.54%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +1.32%E +0.598%K +1.09%G +0.014%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.864%E +0.393%K +0.720%G +0.006%2.0%2026-06-14 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.053%E -0.024%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.970%E -0.449%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:39
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 17:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-14 17:24
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:26
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.18%E -2.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.17%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.359%E -0.195%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.22%E -4.66%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -11.06%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.04%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.96%-0.7%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-14 17:39
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-14 17:40