مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

البداية: 2026-06-14 17:41 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 8–1 Atlanta Braves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.15%1.85السعر العادل
EV -0.359%
الأفضلية -0.195%
Kelly -0.427%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.59%53.97%54.26%55.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.771.771.8458.82%56.40%56.50%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atlanta Braves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.85%2.18السعر العادل
EV +1.32%
الأفضلية +0.598%
Kelly +1.09%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.30%46.03%45.74%48.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.932.062.062.2151.81%48.58%48.54%45.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +1.32%E +0.598%K +1.09%G +0.014%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.864%E +0.393%K +0.720%G +0.006%2.0%2026-06-14 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +0.405%E +0.185%K +0.340%G +0.001%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -0.053%E -0.024%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:39
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.970%E -0.449%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-14 17:39
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-14 17:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.86%E -3.99%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 17:40
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.40%E -4.33%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.43%E -0.665%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 17:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -2.35%E -1.10%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 17:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-14 17:24
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.80%E -1.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 17:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 17:26
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 17:30
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.77%E -3.32%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.72%E -1.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 17:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.18%E -2.00%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.64%E -2.23%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-14 17:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.10%E -2.46%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 13:40
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 17:20
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.69%E -2.67%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 14:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.32%E -3.65%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.01%E -2.93%K -5.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.94%E -4.67%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.47%E -3.17%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 17:39
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -0.359%E -0.195%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.39%E -3.66%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 17:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.31%E -4.15%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.44%E -0.792%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -9.22%E -4.66%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:39
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -10.14%E -5.17%K -10.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.900%E -0.492%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.52%E -1.40%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 17:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -3.07%E -1.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -10.60%E -5.43%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 17:40
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -3.61%E -2.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -11.06%E -5.70%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -4.15%E -2.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.23%E -2.99%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.52%E -5.97%K -12.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-14 17:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.04%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.96%-0.7%2026-06-14 17:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-06-14 17:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-14 17:39
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-06-14 17:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-14 17:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-06-14 17:40
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-06-14 17:40