Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-07-27 23:10 UTC

Final: New York Mets 14–3 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 50.89%1.96odd justa
EV -0.758%
Vantagem -0.389%
Kelly -0.798%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.79%50.91%51.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.891.881.9554.95%52.97%53.05%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 49.11%2.04odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.645%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.54%49.21%49.09%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.931.932.0154.64%51.83%51.81%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 50.89%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 49.11%. Para New York Mets (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.96. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.95, com valor esperado de -0.758%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.758%E -0.389%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.758%E -0.389%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 15:25
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.77%E -1.40%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 22:55
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-27 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.78%E -0.920%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.78%E -0.920%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 22:45
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.79%E -0.893%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-27 23:05
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-27 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:05
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 17:15
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 16:20
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 23:05
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:35
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-27 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:55
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 22:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:25
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:24
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:25
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 22:30
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:25
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 22:59
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.36%E -3.45%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.37%E -4.05%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 22:57
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-27 23:05
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-07-27 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-27 23:05
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-27 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-27 23:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-27 17:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-27 21:40
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-27 23:00
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-07-27 23:05