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New York Mets v Atlanta Braves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 50.89%1.96momio equitativo
EV -0.758%
Ventaja -0.389%
Kelly -0.798%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%50.79%50.91%51.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.891.881.9554.95%52.97%53.05%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Braves (Visitante)
Predicción 49.11%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.54%49.21%49.09%51.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.932.0154.64%51.83%51.81%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 50.89%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 49.11%. Para New York Mets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.96. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.95, con un valor esperado de -0.758%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.758%E -0.389%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.758%E -0.389%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.17%E -4.37%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.77%E -1.40%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.87%EV -1.27%E -0.653%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.13%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.78%E -0.920%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.78%E -0.920%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.79%E -0.893%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.28%E -1.19%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 22:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.19%E -3.80%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.79%E -1.46%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-27 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.30%E -1.74%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.81%E -2.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.22%E -2.71%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.32%E -2.30%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.83%E -2.58%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 22:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.75%E -1.91%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 22:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.72%E -2.98%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.24%E -2.18%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.85%E -3.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.13%E -5.54%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.36%E -3.45%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.70%E -3.52%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.73%E -2.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.87%E -3.75%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.21%E -3.25%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.37%E -4.05%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.68%E -4.08%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 22:57 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 0.0% | 2026-07-27 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-27 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 23:05 |