L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Atlanta Braves

2026-07-27 23:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 48.90%2.05cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.92%48.95%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.951.952.0253.76%51.23%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.10%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.858%
Avantage -0.442%
Kelly -0.913%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.08%51.05%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.861.851.9456.82%53.81%54.05%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.23%E -0.609%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 18:30
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -1.72%E -0.855%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-26 19:55
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:00
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:00
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 19:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.21%E -1.10%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 18:30
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.858%E -0.442%K -0.913%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 20:15
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.709%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 20:15
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.19%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 20:10
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.68%E -1.87%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.92%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 18:45
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:40
Betr (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 18:40
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:25
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:45
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 20:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 19:44
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 18:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.39%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:25
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.24%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 18:38
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.63%E -2.92%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 18:40
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.12%E -3.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.92%E -2.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.39%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 19:05
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 18:30
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.61%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.01%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.10%E -3.74%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.90%E -1.53%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.03%E -5.08%K -11.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -9.05%E -4.87%K -10.53%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -10.06%E -5.71%K -13.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-26 18:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-26 20:05
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%1.6%2026-07-26 20:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%9.3%2026-07-26 20:30