Language:English
New York Mets v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 59.34%1.69fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.41%59.34%61.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.50%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV +0.845%
Edge +0.341%
Kelly +0.571%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.61%40.59%40.66%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.352.4844.44%42.06%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 59.34%; Athletics (Visit): 40.66%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.845%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.59%E -0.659%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 15:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 07:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.85%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:02 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.85%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 60.10% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.90% | -1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 15:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |