A Escola das Odds

New York Mets v Athletics

Início: 2026-04-11 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 59.34%1.69odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%59.41%59.34%61.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.6564.52%62.50%62.50%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletics (Visitante)

Previsão 40.66%2.46odd justa
EV +0.845%
Vantagem +0.341%
Kelly +0.571%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.61%40.59%40.66%41.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.352.4844.44%42.06%42.55%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%2.8%2026-04-11 20:09
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:09
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:09
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -7.44%E -4.77%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV +0.845%E +0.341%K +0.571%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-11 20:10
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:10
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.374%E -0.153%K -0.258%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:10
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.59%E -0.659%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-11 19:35
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 11:29
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -2.00%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 19:50
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 19:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 19:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 17:10
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 15:20
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:04
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:45
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -6.25%E -3.95%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 20:04
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:10
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:10
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:05
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 01:10
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 07:04
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:09
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 13:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:35
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:05
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 11:34
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:09
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:09
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -4.85%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:02
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.85%E -2.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 11:35
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.69%E -1.64%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:50
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 16:50
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.66%E -2.44%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:04
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 19:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 20:09
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 20:09
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.65%E -3.56%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 20:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:40
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.87%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 60.10%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.90%-1.0%2026-04-11 20:04
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-04-11 20:10
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-04-11 20:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-04-11 20:10
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-11 15:35
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-04-11 20:10