Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.82
assuming max odds 2.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 54.77%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 45.23%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -0.324%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.324%E -0.178%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-12 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.42%E -0.789%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.39%E -0.639%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Everygame | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.39%E -0.639%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.84%E -0.850%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.84%E -0.850%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.20%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 14:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.46%E -2.61%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.37%E -3.08%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.37%E -3.08%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 16:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.82%E -3.31%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-12 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 07:24 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-12 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 20:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-12 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 15:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-12 16:29 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 17:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 11:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 11:24 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 21:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-12 15:42 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 15:29 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 16:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.63%E -4.27%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 17:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 10:35 |
| betano_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 18:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-07-12 18:09 |
| Novig | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 13:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 18:10 |