L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 18:11 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 4–2 Los Angeles Angels

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 54.77%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.324%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.395%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.92%54.73%54.74%55.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.751.751.8258.82%57.26%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Angels (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.23%2.21cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.639%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%45.27%45.26%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.112.102.1849.50%47.39%47.62%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.324%E -0.178%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-12 17:54
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.42%E -0.789%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 18:05
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.39%E -0.639%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 18:05
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.39%E -0.639%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 18:05
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.84%E -0.850%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 18:04
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.84%E -0.850%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 18:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-12 18:04
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.51%E -1.41%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.20%E -1.50%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-12 16:30
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-12 18:04
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 14:49
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.06%E -1.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 16:49
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 18:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 15:24
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:29
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 16:29
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.46%E -2.61%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 18:04
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.37%E -3.08%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:34
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.37%E -3.08%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 16:34
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.61%E -2.05%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.82%E -3.31%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 18:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-12 18:05
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:30
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:29
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:29
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 15:24
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 07:24
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 18:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 17:44
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:34
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.65%E -1.72%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 18:05
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 15:24
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:29
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:29
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.71%E -2.70%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.92%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 16:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 17:44
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 18:04
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 11:24
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 11:24
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 11:24
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 11:24
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 21:30
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 15:42
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 18:10
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:29
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 15:29
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 18:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 16:14
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -6.35%E -3.71%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -8.63%E -4.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:43
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 10:35
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 18:01
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 18:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-12 18:09
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-07-12 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-07-12 18:10
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%0.9%2026-07-12 18:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 17:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-12 13:39
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-07-12 18:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-07-12 18:10