Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.60
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 61.92%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 38.08%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.62, with an expected value of -0.230%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.928%E -0.580%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -1.55%E -0.973%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.611%E -0.234%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Everygame | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.13%E -0.830%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 17:34 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.230%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| ReBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 17:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 18:02 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 10:29 |
| Betway | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.51%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Bovada | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.94%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 09:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-11 18:02 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 18:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-11 17:24 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.51%E -0.982%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 18:08 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.42%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:05 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 17:30 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.230%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-11 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 18:03 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 17:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-07-11 18:05 |
| Novig | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 17:54 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-07-11 07:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 2.8% | 2026-07-11 18:09 |
| BetOpenly | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73% | 3.3% | 2026-07-11 17:59 |