Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Los Angeles Angels

Início: 2026-07-11 18:11 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–3 Los Angeles Angels

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 61.92%1.61odd justa
EV -0.928%
Vantagem -0.580%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.74%61.82%62.03%63.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.541.541.6066.67%64.77%64.94%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Previsão 38.08%2.63odd justa
EV -0.230%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.142%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.56%38.18%37.97%40.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.502.502.6243.48%39.96%40.00%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 61.92%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 38.08%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.62, com valor esperado de -0.230%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -0.928%E -0.580%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 17:59
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%EV -1.55%E -0.973%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 18:09
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.611%E -0.234%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-11 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.13%E -0.830%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 17:34
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-11 18:04
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -0.230%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 18:09
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 18:02
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 10:29
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.41%E -2.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.51%E -4.47%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 18:04
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 18:09
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:24
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:24
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:24
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:24
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 17:20
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.94%E -2.41%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 09:14
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 17:59
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 18:02
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 18:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 18:08
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.04%E -1.60%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 18:04
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:24
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.64%E -3.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.56%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%EV -2.51%E -0.982%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 18:08
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.28%E -1.29%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 18:04
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -4.42%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 17:59
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 17:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:04
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-11 18:09
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.230%E -0.088%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-11 18:04
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.70%E -2.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.50%E -4.31%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 18:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.75%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 17:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-07-11 18:05
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-07-11 17:54
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-07-11 07:15
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-07-11 18:09
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-07-11 18:09
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%3.3%2026-07-11 17:59