Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-20 17:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–1 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 56.34%1.77odd justa
EV -0.843%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.52%56.50%56.27%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.691.7662.50%59.08%59.00%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 43.66%2.29odd justa
EV -0.453%
Vantagem -0.199%
Kelly -0.354%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.86%43.50%43.73%45.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.48%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 56.34%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 43.66%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.29. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.28, com valor esperado de -0.453%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -0.843%E -0.479%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -7.88%E -3.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 17:39
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:09
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 17:40
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:20
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 17:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.38%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:39
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -0.890%E -0.392%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 15:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.60%E -4.64%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:40
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.86%E -6.16%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 17:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-20 17:40
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-05-20 17:39
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-20 17:40