L’École des cotes

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 17:41 UTC

Score final : Minnesota Twins 4–1 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prévision 56.34%1.77cote équitable
EV -0.843%
Avantage -0.479%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.52%56.50%56.27%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.691.7662.50%59.08%59.00%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.66%2.29cote équitable
EV -0.453%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.354%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%43.50%43.73%45.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.48%45.45%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -0.843%E -0.479%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -7.88%E -3.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 17:39
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:09
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 17:39
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 17:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:10
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:20
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 17:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:39
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.38%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:39
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 17:29
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -0.890%E -0.392%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 15:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.60%E -4.64%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.86%E -6.16%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 17:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-20 17:40
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-05-20 17:39
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-20 17:40