La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-05-20 17:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 4–1 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 56.34%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.479%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.52%56.50%56.27%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.691.7662.50%59.08%59.00%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 43.66%2.29momio equitativo
EV -0.453%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.354%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%43.50%43.73%45.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.2847.62%45.48%45.45%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -0.843%E -0.479%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -7.88%E -3.73%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 17:39
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:09
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -2.64%E -1.18%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-20 17:39
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
BetAnything1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -1.41%E -0.804%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-20 17:10
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 17:40
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -1.97%E -1.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.53%E -1.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:10
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.10%E -1.80%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:20
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:39
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 17:00
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.57%E -3.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 17:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 17:39
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.38%E -2.00%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.26%E -2.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 17:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 17:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 17:39
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:10
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.69%E -2.64%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.79%E -2.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 17:29
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -0.890%E -0.392%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 17:40
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.51%E -1.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 15:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.13%E -2.85%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 17:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.31%E -3.96%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -0.453%E -0.199%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:00
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.48%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 16:10
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:49
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.04%E -4.27%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -7.60%E -4.64%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 17:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.76%E -0.784%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.86%E -6.16%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 17:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-20 17:40
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%0.4%2026-05-20 17:39
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-20 17:40