Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 51.04%1.96fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.10%51.05%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9255.56%53.56%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 48.96%2.04fair odd
EV -0.608%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.591%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%48.90%48.95%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.941.952.0354.05%51.49%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.04%; Houston Astros (Visit): 48.96%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -0.608%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.59%E -0.790%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-18 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.04%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 20:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 20:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.59%E -0.790%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.54%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -3.54%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 21:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 20:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 23:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 21:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.04%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.06%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 22:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 20:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 23:37 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.31%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 12:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.31%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.46%E -3.95%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 07:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 23:36 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-18 20:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-18 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 23:40 |