Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-05-18 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 6–3 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 51.04%1.96odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.60%51.10%51.05%52.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.871.871.9255.56%53.56%53.48%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 48.96%2.04odd justa
EV -0.608%
Vantagem -0.300%
Kelly -0.591%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%48.90%48.95%50.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.941.952.0354.05%51.49%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 51.04%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 48.96%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.03, com valor esperado de -0.608%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:40
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.01%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.57%E -1.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-18 23:39
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.59%E -0.790%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-18 22:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.04%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-18 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 20:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.52%E -1.32%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 20:45
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-18 22:50
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.59%E -0.790%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-18 20:20
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.03%E -1.59%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-18 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.54%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%EV -3.54%E -1.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 23:40
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.608%E -0.300%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 22:55
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.05%E -2.15%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 22:55
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:25
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:25
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 11:44
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 21:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:20
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 23:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 23:38
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.56%E -2.44%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 21:13
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.04%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.72%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.01%E -2.59%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.06%E -1.54%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 23:39
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 20:20
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.53%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 23:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 20:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.58%E -3.02%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 23:37
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.09%E -3.31%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.31%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.46%E -3.95%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 07:30
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.08%E -1.04%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 23:36
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.60%E -3.61%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -7.11%E -3.91%K -8.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.62%E -4.21%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-18 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.13%E -4.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.55%E -1.80%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-05-18 22:45
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.1%2026-05-18 23:40
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-18 20:20
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-18 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-05-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-05-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.3%2026-05-18 23:40
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%2.2%2026-05-18 23:40
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-18 23:40
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-05-18 23:40