The School of Odds

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Kickoff: 2026-07-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 3–1 Cleveland Guardians

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.02%50.00%51.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.38%52.36%50.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%49.98%50.00%51.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.911.9654.05%52.36%52.36%51.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:14
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:15
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:15
Everygame1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:14
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 21:55
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:35
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 21:25
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:10
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 20:59
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 20:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:59
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:34
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:15
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:35
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:20
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:25
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:45
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:35
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:14
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:35
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:35
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:10
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:44
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
Bet Right1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:40
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:10
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 23:35
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 20:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 20:35
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 20:55
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 21:15
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 23:34
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-07 23:40
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-07-07 23:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-07 23:40
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%4.5%2026-07-07 23:25