Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-07-07 23:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 3–1 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.761%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.02%50.00%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9754.05%52.38%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 50.00%2.00odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%49.98%50.00%51.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.911.911.9654.05%52.36%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.00%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 50.00%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.50%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:15
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:15
Everygame🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.50%E -0.761%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 22:14
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.00%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 23:35
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 21:25
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-07 23:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 23:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:10
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 20:59
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 20:40
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 21:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:59
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 20:55
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:35
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-07 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 20:40
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-07 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 20:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 21:15
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-07 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-07 23:34
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 23:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:40
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-07-07 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%0.8%2026-07-07 23:40
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-07-07 23:40
ProphetX1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.5%2026-07-07 23:40
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-07 23:40
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%2.3%2026-07-07 23:40
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%4.5%2026-07-07 23:25