Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +2.34%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%46.20%45.95%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.082.2351.28%48.08%48.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 53.87%1.86fair odd
EV +0.732%
Edge +0.391%
Kelly +0.841%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.80%54.05%56.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.771.771.8758.82%56.59%56.66%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 46.13%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 53.87%. For Minnesota Twins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +2.88%E +1.29%K +2.34%G +0.067% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +1.95%E +0.884%K +1.61%G +0.032% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.03%E +0.471%K +0.866%G +0.009% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.569%E +0.261%K +0.483%G +0.003% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.815%E -0.379%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.815%E -0.379%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.74%E -0.816%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.74%E -0.816%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.20%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.884%E -0.481%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.97%E -2.41%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.732%E +0.391%K +0.841%G +0.006% | 2.0% | 2026-04-15 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.97%E -2.41%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.50%E -1.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 17:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.66%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36% | 0.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22% | 3.0% | 2026-04-15 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 3.1% | 2026-04-15 17:40 |