La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-04-15 17:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 5–9 Boston Red Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Predicción 46.13%2.17momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +2.34%
Crecimiento +0.067%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%46.20%45.95%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.082.2351.28%48.08%48.08%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 53.87%1.86momio equitativo
EV +0.732%
Ventaja +0.391%
Kelly +0.841%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.80%54.05%56.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.771.771.8758.82%56.59%56.66%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +2.88%E +1.29%K +2.34%G +0.067%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 17:39
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV +1.95%E +0.884%K +1.61%G +0.032%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-15 17:39
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV +1.03%E +0.471%K +0.866%G +0.009%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 17:40
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV +0.569%E +0.261%K +0.483%G +0.003%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.815%E -0.379%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 17:39
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.815%E -0.379%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.89%E -4.61%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 17:40
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.74%E -0.816%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-15 17:40
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -1.74%E -0.816%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 17:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -2.20%E -1.04%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 17:05
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -0.884%E -0.481%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-15 17:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:39
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:40
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:39
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:05
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 17:05
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 17:40
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 17:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.35%E -4.27%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 17:39
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.58%E -1.71%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -4.12%E -2.31%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 17:40
theScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-15 17:05
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.58%E -2.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
Bally Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 17:05
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 17:40
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 17:39
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 17:40
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 17:40
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 17:05
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 17:05
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 17:05
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -4.51%E -2.18%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 17:05
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -4.97%E -2.41%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV +0.732%E +0.391%K +0.841%G +0.006%2.0%2026-04-15 16:45
SportsBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.97%E -2.41%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 14:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 17:15
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 14:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 15:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 15:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.81%E -3.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 17:40
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.43%E -4.96%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 17:39
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.50%E -1.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 16:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 17:15
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 17:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.66%E -2.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 17:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.73%E -3.28%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:15
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.66%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.96%E -1.08%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-15 17:40
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%0.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-15 17:40
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-04-15 17:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-04-15 17:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-04-15 17:40
BetOpenly2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%3.0%2026-04-15 17:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-04-15 17:40