Language:English
Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Prediction 43.91%2.28fair odd
EV +0.124%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.94%43.93%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.14%46.51%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 56.09%1.78fair odd
EV +0.955%
Edge +0.530%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.06%56.07%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.40%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Twins (Local): 43.91%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 56.09%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.955%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.955%E +0.530%K +1.19%G +0.011% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -4.71%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -8.22%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 23:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 19:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.124%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.315%E -0.139%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.83%E -1.75%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 22:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 20:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 01:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.83%E -1.75%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.729%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 22:41 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.79%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-14 21:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-04-14 23:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-04-14 23:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 1.7% | 2026-04-14 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 23:25 |