默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-04-14 23:40 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 6–0 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 43.91%2.28公平赔率
EV +0.124%
优势 +0.054%
Kelly +0.097%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.28

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%43.94%43.93%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.172.152.2848.78%46.14%46.51%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 56.09%1.78公平赔率
EV +0.955%
优势 +0.530%
Kelly +1.19%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
54.55%56.06%56.07%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.40%58.48%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):43.91%;Boston Red Sox (客队):56.09%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.78。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.80,对应+0.955%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.955%E +0.530%K +1.19%G +0.011%1.9%2026-04-14 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%EV -4.71%E -2.17%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -1.85%E -1.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-14 23:35
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-14 21:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -8.22%E -3.93%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -2.41%E -1.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -6.02%E -2.81%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 23:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.97%E -1.72%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 19:59
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.124%E +0.054%K +0.097%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-14 22:44
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -0.315%E -0.139%K -0.248%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-14 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -1.19%E -0.530%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -3.83%E -1.75%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 22:03
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 23:00
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:35
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.90%E -3.26%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.53%E -2.05%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 20:39
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:00
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 01:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:44
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.27%E -1.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 22:49
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:00
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:49
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:50
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.09%E -2.39%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-14 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.83%E -1.75%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 22:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:50
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.65%E -2.74%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:49
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:59
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:05
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.15%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.21%E -3.09%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 23:00
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.729%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:41
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.78%E -3.70%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.78%E -3.44%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 22:45
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.58%E -2.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.34%E -3.79%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.39%E -1.54%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.98%E -4.87%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.46%E -4.52%K -11.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-14 21:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-04-14 23:20
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-04-14 23:05
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-04-14 23:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-14 23:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-04-14 23:05
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-04-14 23:25