默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 17:41 UTC

最终结果: Minnesota Twins 7–5 Baltimore Orioles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Minnesota Twins (主队)

预测 50.37%1.99公平赔率
EV -0.276%
优势 -0.139%
Kelly -0.281%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
49.36%50.39%50.40%51.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.891.881.9855.56%52.90%53.19%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Baltimore Orioles (客队)

预测 49.63%2.01公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.617%
Kelly -1.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.99

博彩公司预测分布
48.68%49.61%49.60%50.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.85%51.81%50.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Minnesota Twins (主队):50.37%;Baltimore Orioles (客队):49.63%。 对于“Minnesota Twins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.99。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.98,期望值为-0.276%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 17:30
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 17:34
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 16:48
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -1.72%E -0.871%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.617%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.30%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 17:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:44
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 15:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:15
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:30
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 17:34
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 17:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.84%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:33
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 16:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-12 17:35
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-12 17:35
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:15
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 10:54
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-12 17:35
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-12 17:29