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Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Twins (Local)
Predicción 50.37%1.99momio equitativo
EV -0.276%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.281%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.36%50.39%50.40%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.891.881.9855.56%52.90%53.19%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 49.63%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%49.61%49.60%50.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.85%51.81%50.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.37%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 49.63%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.98, con un valor esperado de -0.276%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 16:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -1.72%E -0.871%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 15:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.617%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.30%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 07:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 07:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 07:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 15:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:13 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-12 17:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.84%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 17:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 17:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 10:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-12 17:29 |