Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-12 17:41 UTC

Final: Minnesota Twins 7–5 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Twins (Local)

Previsão 50.37%1.99odd justa
EV -0.276%
Vantagem -0.139%
Kelly -0.281%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.36%50.39%50.40%51.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.881.9855.56%52.90%53.19%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 49.63%2.01odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.617%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.68%49.61%49.60%50.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.931.931.9954.05%51.85%51.81%50.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Twins (Local): 50.37%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 49.63%. Para Minnesota Twins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.99. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.98, com valor esperado de -0.276%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 17:30
Caesars🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -0.276%E -0.139%K -0.281%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 17:34
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 16:48
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.28%E -0.655%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.39%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%EV -1.72%E -0.871%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-12 17:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.79%E -0.916%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.23%E -0.617%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:30
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.79%E -1.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-12 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.30%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 17:29
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 07:44
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:19
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 15:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.80%E -1.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 15:15
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 17:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:24
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.27%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:13
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.22%E -1.13%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 17:34
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:30
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.31%E -2.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 17:34
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.18%E -3.84%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.32%E -3.40%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.71%E -1.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 15:39
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.21%E -2.18%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 16:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 17:35
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.70%E -3.00%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.82%E -3.69%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.18%E -4.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 17:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -7.33%E -3.98%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -4.70%E -2.45%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.83%E -4.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.20%E -2.72%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -8.84%E -4.88%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -6.19%E -3.28%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 17:33
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -9.34%E -5.19%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.69%E -3.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 16:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-08-12 17:35
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-12 17:35
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-08-12 17:15
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 10:54
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-12 17:35
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-12 17:35
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-08-12 17:29