Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%65.50%65.63%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.76%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.037%
Kelly -0.057%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.50%34.37%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.782.802.9038.17%35.95%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 65.55%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 34.45%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.903. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.900, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -1.01%E -0.671%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.17%E -0.766%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.32%E -1.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.32%E -1.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:25
Everygame🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 16:30
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.86%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:04
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:28
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:54
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:55
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:55
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:14
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.65%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.107%E -0.037%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:09
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:25
888sport🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.14%E -0.398%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:15
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.14%E -0.398%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:19
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:25
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 18:09
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:09
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:25
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-04-12 18:09
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-12 18:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-12 18:10
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-04-12 18:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-04-12 17:45