L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 18:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 6–8 Washington Nationals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 65.55%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.671%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.16%65.50%65.63%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5171.43%68.76%68.97%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Nationals (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV -0.107%
Avantage -0.037%
Kelly -0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.50%34.37%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.782.802.9038.17%35.95%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -1.01%E -0.671%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 17:25
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%EV -2.17%E -0.766%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-12 17:25
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-12 17:20
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -1.67%E -1.11%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:55
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.32%E -1.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.32%E -1.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 17:25
Everygame1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 16:30
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.86%E -1.02%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:04
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 17:20
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -7.34%E -2.73%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:28
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:54
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:55
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.98%E -2.01%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:55
ReBet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:09
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 17:14
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 18:10
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.64%E -2.47%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.65%E -2.45%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:20
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 17:10
Bet Right1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:25
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.29%E -2.94%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.72%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 17:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.107%E -0.037%K -0.057%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-12 18:09
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 17:09
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.24%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 17:25
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:25
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:15
Marathon Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:20
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 17:20
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.95%E -3.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.00%E -2.59%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.14%E -0.398%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:15
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.14%E -0.398%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 16:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:19
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:25
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-12 17:25
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 18:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:35
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 17:09
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.60%E -3.89%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 17:10
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:49
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.83%E -0.642%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 17:50
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 18:09
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:49
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:25
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.26%E -4.38%K -14.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 17:50
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.91%E -4.87%K -16.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.22%E -5.87%K -20.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%-0.1%2026-04-12 18:09
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 17:30
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-12 18:05
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-12 18:10
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.2%2026-04-12 18:10
Novig1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%1.9%2026-04-12 18:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-04-12 17:45