Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 61.35%1.63fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.35%61.53%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.37%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 38.65%2.59fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.65%38.47%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.482.482.5542.55%40.39%40.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 61.35%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 38.65%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.23%E -0.764%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 20:49
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:00
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 15:20
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.07%E -1.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.07%E -1.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:14
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:25
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:05
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 06:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 12:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 06:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.07%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:43
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.46%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.46%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:09
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:06
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 09:04
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 07:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 06:45
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:45
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:14
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:44
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:45
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 07:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48%0.3%2026-04-11 23:09
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-11 23:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 20:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-11 23:05
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-04-11 23:00