A Escola das Odds

Milwaukee Brewers v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-04-11 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 61.35%1.63odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.764%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.10%61.35%61.53%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.551.6166.67%64.37%64.52%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 38.65%2.59odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.563%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.65%38.47%39.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.482.482.5542.55%40.39%40.32%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.23%E -0.764%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-11 20:49
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 22:59
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-11 23:05
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.46%E -1.55%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 15:20
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.07%E -1.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 20:44
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.07%E -1.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 19:34
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 13:14
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.68%E -2.35%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 02:05
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:19
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 02:25
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 18:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:05
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 06:43
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 12:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:19
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 06:44
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.07%E -2.50%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:43
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.46%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:45
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.46%E -2.67%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:44
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:09
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:10
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.30%E -2.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 23:10
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 23:06
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:19
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 22:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 09:04
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 07:09
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 06:45
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 14:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -1.82%E -0.718%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:45
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:14
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.52%E -3.59%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 22:55
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:44
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:45
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 22:35
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 20:44
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.44%E -0.563%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 07:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.52%2.59I 38.61%NM 38.48%0.3%2026-04-11 23:09
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-11 23:00
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 20:45
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-11 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-11 23:05
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.8%2026-04-11 23:00