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Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.79%57.00%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.47%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.430%
Kelly +0.751%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.21%43.00%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3447.62%45.23%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.84%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 43.16%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +1.01%E +0.430%K +0.751%G +0.008% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.574%E +0.247%K +0.432%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.143%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.143%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.289%E -0.125%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-12 21:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 21:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.02%E -0.888%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 23:38 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 23:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.11%E -0.636%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 21:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-05-12 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-12 22:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07% | 2.7% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57% | 3.0% | 2026-05-12 23:40 |