Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-05-12 23:41 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 6–4 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Previsão 56.84%1.76odd justa
EV -1.11%
Vantagem -0.636%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.26%56.79%57.00%58.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.47%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 43.16%2.32odd justa
EV +1.01%
Vantagem +0.430%
Kelly +0.751%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%43.21%43.00%44.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.212.202.3447.62%45.23%45.45%42.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 56.84%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 43.16%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.34, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +1.01%E +0.430%K +0.751%G +0.008%2.3%2026-05-12 23:35
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.574%E +0.247%K +0.432%G +0.002%2.1%2026-05-12 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.143%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.143%E +0.062%K +0.108%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 23:35
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.289%E -0.125%K -0.221%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 23:35
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 21:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-12 21:10
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.721%E -0.313%K -0.554%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 21:14
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.15%E -0.503%K -0.893%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-12 22:25
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.02%E -0.888%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 23:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 23:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-12 21:00
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 22:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 21:50
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 21:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 23:35
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.88%E -1.28%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.31%E -1.48%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:00
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 21:00
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:59
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.65%E -3.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.17%E -1.88%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.11%E -0.636%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 21:00
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:05
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.22%E -3.77%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.93%E -4.89%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.04%E -2.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -1.68%E -0.968%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -5.90%E -2.71%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -6.33%E -2.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.81%E -1.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.76%E -3.13%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 23:40
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.95%E -2.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.09%E -3.05%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.79%E -4.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.20%E -3.35%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.38%E -1.99%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.52%E -2.69%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.35%E -4.45%K -8.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-05-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-12 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-12 21:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-12 22:20
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%2.7%2026-05-12 23:40
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-05-12 23:40
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%3.0%2026-05-12 23:40